A 2-sided P value of less than .05 was considered as statistically significant. All analyses were performed by SAS (SAS Institute, Inc, Cary, NC). In the development cohort (mean age, 66.7; SD, 7.76), 5% (n = 90) were frail and 42% (n = 712) were prefrail. All but a few of the candidate predictor variables were significantly associated with prefrailty-frailty (Table 1). All variables (except

ADL disability, IADL disability, hospitalization, and falls) were entered in a stepwise backward selection prediction model of frailty (Table 2). A total of 13 significant variables were derived in the final selection model. They were older age, having ERK inhibitor no education, heart failure, obstructive respiratory disorders (asthma and/or chronic obstructive pulmonary disease [COPD]), stroke, depressive symptoms, hearing impairment, visual impairment, chronic airflow obstruction (FEV1/FVC<0.70), chronic kidney failure (estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR] <60 mL/min/1.73 m2), low hemoglobin, high click here nutritional risk, and increased WCCs. Table 2 shows the β coefficients and ORs for prefrailty-frailty derived from this model and the risk scores assigned to each risk factor. Risk scores assigned to each

of these risk factors were summated, and in the validation cohort, the summary risk score (FRI) was related to the prevalence of prefrailty and frailty (Table 3). Increasing summed scores of FRI were clearly related to increasing prevalence of prefrailty and frailty (Figure 1). In multinomial regression models analyzing FRI as a continuous variable, the risk of frailty increased by an estimated 80% per unit of FRI Epothilone B (EPO906, Patupilone) score, and 23% per unit of FRI score (Table 4). The ability of the FRI to predict frailty (CHS Frailty score ≥3) is shown in the ROC curve (Figure 2), with area under the ROC of 0.890. In longitudinal analyses, FRI scores at baseline were significantly associated with IADL-ADL dependency, hospitalization, lowest quintile of SF12-PCS scores, and combined adverse health outcomes at follow-up, controlling for age, gender, housing status, smoking, multicomorbidity, and baseline IADL-ADL

dependency status (or hospitalization in past year, SF12-PCS as appropriate) (Table 5). This was also observed in the sample that excluded participants who had the adverse health outcomes at baseline. The area under the ROC curve for FRI prediction of IADL-ADL dependency was 0.715, relatively greater than the areas under the curve (AUCs) for the CHS Frailty scale and a comparable FRAIL scale (Table 6; Figure 3). Similarly greater AUC values for FRI versus CHS Frailty scale and FRAIL scale were observed for hospitalization and SF12-PCS outcomes. The exploration of determinants of frailty are important for identifying modifiable risk factors, profiling clinical risk indicators, and targeting population subgroups for early intervention among people identified to be at risk of becoming frail.